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'Near panic' easing
Tue, Oct 21, 2008
AFP

ALEXANDRIA (Louisiana), USA - US PRESIDENT George W. Bush said on Monday that he thought the US public's 'near panic' over the global financial crisis was easing as government-led economic rescue efforts paid off.

After a roundtable with local business leaders, Mr Bush said 'I have heard that people's attitudes are beginning to change, from a period of intense concerns - and I would call it near panic - to being more relaxed.'

People are 'beginning to see the effects of changes and the liquidity that is being pumped in the system,' said Mr Bush, referring to the US$700 billion (S$1 trillion) bailout plan.

At the same time, 'we got a long way to go,' the president warned.

Separately, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr Ben Bernanke, on Monday endorsed the idea of a second US economic stimulus plan this year, after warning of a possible 'protracted slowdown'.

'With the economy likely to be weak for several quarters and with some risk of a protracted slowdown, consideration of a fiscal package by the Congress at this juncture seems appropriate,' he said in comments to the House of Representatives budget committee.

The speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, has suggested that Congress may convene after Nov 4 presidential elections to pass a projected S$150 billion spending package.

The plan would increase federal spending on infrastructure, food stamps and unemployment insurance, and a focus on health care aid in the form of programmes like Medicaid.

Mrs Pelosi welcomed Mr Bernanke's comments and called on President George W. Bush and Republicans in the upper chamber Senate 'to enact a targeted, timely, and fiscally responsible economic recovery and job creation package.'

President Bush signed into law a US$168 billion stimulus package in February, but Senate Republicans rejected an attempt by the House to pass a second package last month.

The White House said it was keeping an 'open mind' regarding a second package but was wary of proposals from the Democrats.

'I think we just need to wait and see. We're open to ideas and we'll take a look at what comes our way,' spokesman Dana Perino said aboard the presidential airplane, Air Force One.

Mr Bernanke said in testimony about the US economy that consumption was falling, confidence was low and the housing market still depressed.

'The slowing in spending and activity spans most major sectors,' he said.

Asked about a recession, he declined to use the word but said 'the pace of economic activity is likely to be below that of its longer-term potential for several quarters'.

Some analysts said this was a coded admission that the economy would contract for two consecutive quarters - the most widely used definition of a recession among economists.

'We are in a very serious slowdown in the economy which has very serious consequences for the public,' Mr Bernanke replied when pushed to say whether a recession was underway.

'Whether it's called a recession or not is of no consequence,' he said.

He gave no firm hint of further interest rate cuts to help the economy, but said inflationary pressures were falling due to declining prices of commodities and imports.

'If not reversed, these developments, together with the likelihood that economic activity will fall short of potential for a time, should bring inflation down to levels consistent with price stability,' he said.

On Oct 8, the Fed slashed its interest rates by 0.50 percentage points in a coordinated move with other major central banks around the world.

The key federal funds rate is currently pegged at 1.5 per cent. The Federal Open Market Committee holds its next rate-setting meeting on Oct 28-29.

'Bernanke provided a rather grim update on the economic outlook, using a technical euphemism for recession,' commented an analyst at consultancy Global Insight, Mr Brian Bethune.

He added that 'the Fed chairman is giving Congress a green light to go ahead with an additional fiscal stimulus package.'

Mr Bernanke said that economic recovery would depend greatly 'on the pace at which financial and credit markets return to more normal functioning' and said Congress should consider ways to encourage lending in any package.

'If Congress proceeds with a fiscal package it should consider including measures to help improve access to credit by consumers, home buyers, businesses and other borrowers,' he said.

The Fed has spent weeks in crisis-management mode, using a series of weapons to combat the most severe financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s.

Mr Bernanke said any new plan should take into account the long-term effect on government accounts.

The latest data from the Treasury showed the US budget deficit tripled in the 2007-2008 fiscal year ended September US$30 to US$455 billion dollars, or 3.2 per cent of gross domestic product.

Stock markets sprinted higher on Monday, with strong gains in Asia, Europe and on Wall Street as investors cheered government pledges to tackle the economic crisis.

The leading index on Wall Street, the Dow industrials, gained 4.59 per cent.

 

 
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