LOSSES in structured products fall into two categories: Small money and big money.
Small money
The banks have made a big show of solving the small-money cases.
Hong Leong Finance said it will compensate investors with a primary school education and aged 62 or older at the time of purchase. The company did not say how many of its customers fall into this narrow category.
DBS issued $100 million of High Notes 5 that are now worthless.
It will pay out $70 to $80 million to compensate customers for its mis-selling.
The $70m to $80m also includes customers in Hong Kong.
Hong Kong sales include products like Minibonds which a bank could buy back, hold to maturity and redeem at or near full value. It would cost the bank little or nothing.
DBS can't do that with the $100 million in the High Notes 5 it sold here because those have defaulted. Their value is zero.
I asked DBS about the split between its Singapore and HK payments. It told me: "As a matter of policy, we do not discuss individual cases and thus will not divulge how much will be paid to investors in each country."
Big money
All the losses have been in a popular type of structured product called credit and equity-linked notes.
I call them "linked notes" for short.
In pief: High Notes 5 and Jubilee 3 have no value.
There is hope for all the others, including Minibonds.
Many now trade at only 10 to 20 per cent of cost, but they could mature at or near full value.
The three Lehman-linked notes account for $500 million of sales here. Add other linked notes and the total is in the billions.
Why did we buy so many? Are the issuing banks and distributors to blame?
Probably. Here is why: Linked notes invest in a 10/90 per cent mix of stock options and risky bonds called CDOs (collateralised debt obligations).
Most of the options are now worthless because of the stock market's fall. Many of the CDOs could also default.
The important issue, I think, is whether ALL investors were mis-advised because of omissions from the prospectus.
If so, it could constitute grounds for invalidating the linked-note contracts and returning the money to investors.
It would be similar to the repurchase of $55 billion of auction-rate notes and $522 million in fines of global banks for mis-selling them.
This article was first published in The New Paper on October 27, 2008.